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🔥 "US stocks continue to big dump, Bitcoin has experienced a 50% Slump of 66% in half a year!"🔥
Hehe, such a thing "don't even think about it", it's impossible to happen! At least it won't happen in the next five years!
I personally strongly reject the view of being bearish on the US 🇺🇸 economy within the next few years!
The U.S. economy will not only not decline in the short term, but U.S. stocks and Bitcoin will also continue to reach new highs.
The answer is actually very simple, just two points:
1️⃣ No recession, the economic fundamentals are resilient.
The U.S. employment and consumption data remains robust, and the core industries continue to be competitive. As long as there is no widespread recession, the U.S. stock market has the conditions to continue rising.
2️⃣ Liquidity is the biggest driver
Have you all noticed? The broad money supply M2 in the United States has just reached a new all-time high. After a brief and unusual tightening period, the current M2 has now surpassed the peak during the COVID-19 period.
Moreover, the U.S. government is now adding $1 trillion in debt every 100 days! This implies a continuous release of liquidity behind it. As long as the debt does not explode, funds will constantly push up the prices of risk assets.
💡 Market Mapping
Over the past year, we have seen gold and Bitcoin (BTC) taking turns to reach new historical highs. This is the result of the combined effects of "currency overissuance + risk hedging."
Next, if M2 and debt continue to expand, the US stock market is likely to join the "competition for historical highs." As the most liquid crypto asset in the world, Bitcoin will naturally correlate with the US stock market, potentially amplifying the increase.
📈 Logical Summary
• No recession → The economy is not collapsing, and the US stock market has confidence.
• Excess liquidity → funds have nowhere to go, pushing up asset prices.
• Gold, Bitcoin → have proven to be safe havens and risk hedging tools for capital.
• If the US stock market continues to hit new highs, Bitcoin is likely to follow and accelerate its rise.
So the real question is not "why is it rising," but rather: under the flood of liquidity, which assets are of higher quality!